Shiny Rates in Pokémon Scarlet and Violet

Pokémon Scarlet and Violet have quite a few methods of hunting shinies! You've got wild encounters, Outbreaks, Tera Raids, Eggs, and events that can boost rates. Then, of course, these games added Sparkling Power through the sandwich and food system, which has different effects! Therefore, we present useful tables and summaries for all shiny rates in Pokémon Scarlet and Violet. Of course, this also includes the DLC.

If you want to know why this page uses "shiny rates" instead of "shiny odds," "shiny chances," or "shiny probabilities" check out our guide on shiny rate verbiage. Long story short, we use "rate" to mean mathematical probability (i.e. a value between 0 and 1 that indicates how likely an event will occur) presented as fractions. For example, a rate of 1/4096 means "the probability of a shiny is one in an average of 4096 encounters".

This page applies to version 3.0.1.

Special thanks to Anubis for the data!

linkThe Most Important Data

(If you're on mobile, you will need to scroll horizontally to view the whole table!)

Here's a link to a sharable version of the table, thanks again to Anubis.

linkBase Shiny Rate

The base shiny rate in Scarlet and Violet is 1/4096. If you have the shiny charm, the chance is typically increased to 1/1365.67, but only for encounters that use it. Shiny Charm, in most cases, will add an additional two shiny rolls when spawning the Pokémon.

This information is not universally true for this game. Please see further tables below for specific hunts.

linkStatic Encounters and Shiny Locks

There are quite a few Shiny Locked Pokémon in Scarlet and Violet. All Static Encounters, or Pokémon that require pressing A to battle, are shiny locked. This includes the following:

• The Ruin Legends: Wo-Chien, Chien-Pao, Ting-Lu, Chi-Yu
• The Loyal Three: Okidogi, Munkidori, Fezandipiti
• Koraidon and Miraidon (including the Area Zero encounters)
• Ogerpon
• Terapagos
• Ex-Titans
• Gimmighoul (except for the limited event distribution raid)
• Story Encounters (i.e. 1st Lechonk, decoy Tatsugiri)
• All Snacksworth Legendaries: Raikou, Entei, Suicune, Ho-Oh, Lugia, Latios, Latias, Groudon, Kyogre, Rayquaza, Cobalion, Terrakion, Virizion, Reshiram, Zekrom, Kyurem, Solgaleo, Lunala, Necrozma, Glastrier, Spectrier

linkWild Encounters

The information in this section only applies to wild encounters. These are not to be used with Tera Raids or Outbreaks. Keep in mind that Sparkling Power can only be applied to anything classified as a "wild encounter" (which includes Outbreaks and Distribution Outbreaks).

linkOutbreaks

Normal Outbreaks typically use the same mechanics as regular wild encounters, but will add additional shiny rolls depending on how many Pokémon have been cleared. A "clear" means that they are defeated (any method) or caught. The following tables are based on your Sparkling Power Level. Please refer to the correct table!

linkNo Sparkling Power

Outbreak shiny chances with no Sparkling Power enabled:

linkSparkling Power Level 1

Outbreak shiny chances with Sparkling Power Level 1:

linkSparkling Power Level 2

Outbreak shiny chances with Sparkling Power Level 2:

linkSparkling Power Level 3

linkDistribution Outbreaks (Boosted Shiny Chance)

Event Outbreaks (also known as Distribution Outbreaks) will often come with a shiny rate bonus of 0.5%. It's important to note how the game checks for a shiny.

1. Check for a 0.5% chance of being shiny. If so, it's a shiny!
2. The remaining 99.5% of the time, do the regular Outbreak checks (depends on number cleared, Sparkling Power, and Shiny Charm).

This means we have a weighted probability between the two cases, which is why the rates are a less straightforward to calculate.

linkNo Sparkling Power

Event Outbreak shiny chances with no Sparkling Power enabled:

linkSparkling Power Level 1

Event Outbreak shiny chances with Sparkling Power Level 1:

linkSparkling Power Level 2

Event Outbreak shiny chances with Sparkling Power Level 2:

linkSparkling Power Level 3

Event Outbreak shiny chances with Sparkling Power Level 3:

linkTera Raids

Tera Raids unfortunately use 32-bit seeds under the hood (a seed is a number that determines exactly how a Raid will turn out). This means that there are 4,294,967,296 total possible seeds for Tera Raids. Only 1,046,775 of those seeds yield shiny raids. Therefore, the rates are actually a bit worse than normal! Additionally, raids do not care about the Shiny Charm.

Normal Tera Raids available in the game will have a shiny rate of 1/4103.05.

linkEvent Tera Raids

Event Tera Raid Battles can be set to never be shiny. Additionally, some raids might have the shiny enabled for only particular Pokémon or difficulty levels changing the true rate. Consult event listings for more information!

linkEggs and Masuda Method

Eggs are largely unchanged since Brilliant Diamond & Shining Pearl and Sword & Shield. Keep in mind that Sparkling Power does not affect eggs. There's a quirk (or bug?) in the code that skips a shiny roll if any bonus is active. This is why the Shiny Charm rate on its own is weird!

Here are the rates for eggs depending on how you're breeding: